Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.705675 0.905549 1.130432 1.399205 1.708725 2.051169 2.455821
2025-05-04 0.418589 0.661890 0.972159 1.383019 1.899226 2.513571 3.287007
2025-05-11 0.239544 0.480603 0.831773 1.344767 2.040679 2.920120 4.083240
2025-05-18 0.143709 0.372460 0.752844 1.359751 2.237430 3.400273 4.996422
2025-05-25 0.076893 0.274361 0.656126 1.323073 2.348634 3.767396 5.779639
2025-06-01 0.048639 0.233388 0.638688 1.397500 2.616955 4.355022 6.874867
2025-06-08 0.025620 0.183596 0.587359 1.403386 2.776876 4.794559 7.784080
2025-06-15 0.016307 0.165160 0.592608 1.504209 3.086947 5.458315 9.021090
2025-06-22 0.008888 0.141879 0.578573 1.565137 3.333791 6.036927 10.154662
2025-06-29 0.003892 0.116958 0.550654 1.592998 3.524451 6.536160 11.187322
2025-07-06 0.000944 0.087813 0.497586 1.559757 3.605406 6.868797 11.986707
2025-07-13 0.000166 0.071477 0.473953 1.582369 3.781283 7.349684 13.009819
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.056823 0.448957 1.600186 3.953793 7.838765 14.070131
2025-07-27 NaN 0.039382 0.400071 1.553392 4.003688 8.135065 14.853226
2025-08-03 NaN 0.025681 0.352093 1.497394 4.029238 8.390325 15.579131
2025-08-10 NaN 0.018893 0.331229 1.505990 4.177780 8.849218 16.622217
2025-08-17 NaN 0.011645 0.294557 1.462840 4.218917 9.129405 17.396284
2025-08-24 NaN 0.010130 0.299789 1.540483 4.508222 9.833089 18.836371
2025-08-31 NaN 0.006879 0.281981 1.545724 4.647711 10.285878 19.894426
2025-09-07 NaN 0.006580 0.296362 1.652794 5.005000 11.118507 21.558437
2025-09-14 NaN 0.005402 0.297414 1.717453 5.274977 11.806557 23.005729
2025-09-21 NaN 0.003847 0.288167 1.746980 5.470824 12.370514 24.266043
2025-09-28 NaN 0.001967 0.261307 1.711485 5.522991 12.684789 25.135903